{
  "handle": "HindsightBlock",
  "mechanism": "{{decision}}-Time Evaluation: When evaluating past decision, reconstruct information available AT DECISION TIME. {{judge}} decision quality by expected value given that information, not by outcome. Good decisions can have bad outcomes. Bad decisions can have good outcomes. It mirrors {{pre_mortem}} logic after the fact, reconstructing the ex-ante probability space to judge decision quality independent of outcome.",
  "gloss": "Preventing results-oriented thinking",
  "failure_modes": [
    "{{outcome}} Blindness: Ignoring outcomes entirely prevents learning from black swans or model errors."
  ],
  "invariants": [
    "No Revision: Log is immutable",
    "Prior Commitment: Prediction(T) must be cryptographically committed before {{outcome}}(T+delta)"
  ],
  "preconditions": [
    "Prediction registry active"
  ],
  "parameters": [
    {
      "name": "lookback_window",
      "type": "Duration",
      "range": "[1min, 24h]",
      "description": "How far back to evaluate"
    },
    {
      "name": "regret_threshold",
      "type": "Float",
      "range": "[0.0, 0.5]",
      "description": "Max acceptable regret score"
    }
  ],
  "_meta": {
    "tier": 1,
    "ring": 2,
    "supersedes": [
      "sema:HindsightBlock#mh:SHA-256:bdb602218783e07b6eb5e68e900635bcd80e7b6d2ff32ac26ec03e383837f363",
      "sema:HindsightBlock#mh:SHA-256:51fc6c6213db5ba4483123deb00c3ebfc2a05310434d308f6850c12e1b6aad46",
      "sema:HindsightBlock#mh:SHA-256:0ba0f1520d64889425562a8fa226f5da04f0b64fd98e167383538cc0e9e653f2"
    ],
    "path": [
      "Mind",
      "Inference"
    ]
  },
  "sema_id": "sema:HindsightBlock#mh:SHA-256:5d8d82eb55fe76c2657aa1f5ac21d4bc38edb2a3835c4e1ca1a071bad5f2a8fd",
  "sema_ref": "HindsightBlock#5d8d",
  "sema_stub": "5d8d",
  "dependencies": {
    "references": {
      "decision": "sema:Decision#mh:SHA-256:b1407127acd4a39314fc24b418310e4b95e0347e4e22f376151ab765e2dfd2c7",
      "judge": "sema:Judge#mh:SHA-256:704cbb71588d7a3bafa08b71c863005e31ec4400860b9cb8b094e660da9c7c6c",
      "outcome": "sema:Outcome#mh:SHA-256:753768dae28040f1291ee2849d2aac2a08bbffd836cfab679bdbea9a6ff7ec03",
      "pre_mortem": "sema:PreMortem#mh:SHA-256:e4c24813f33aa41fdb183e380d05707fe1fd813c46b4127602449a8988f47964"
    }
  },
  "sema_layer": "Mind",
  "sema_category": "Inference",
  "used_by": {}
}