Mind · Inference

SurvivorCorrect

Accounting for silent failures in data

Definition

Mechanism

Failure Inclusion: When learning from examples, ask: "Am I only seeing successes?" Estimate base rate of attempts. Seek out failures and near-misses. The pattern that "all successful X do Y" means nothing if failed X also did Y. Denominator matters. Utilizes BaseRateInclude.

Preconditions

  1. Filtered dataset (survivors only)

Postconditions

  1. True population estimate

Invariants

  1. CognitiveBias reduced
  2. Sample re-weighted to account for missing data

Risks

Failure modes

  1. Phantom Hunt

    Wasting resources looking for failures in a dataset that is genuinely 100% successful.

Relationships

Builds on

References

Infrastructure

CognitiveBias

Structural processing error definition

Nothing in this library builds on this pattern yet.

Reference

Identity

Ref
SurvivorCorrect#3780
Sema ID
sema:SurvivorCorrect#mh:SHA-256:37802a37d7e4bc9080836e17c5fbf7c170bce0942ed40d8a4960c46f6ca2407c
Ring
2
Tier
1
Updated
2026-11-11
Supersedes
  • sema:SurvivorCorrect#mh:SHA-256:6c9093fc93158cdc0e8e81af7cd3dbc29b9998b609d3a490a18142ae96179aea