Society · Economics

Bid

Binding offer from solver to execute task

Definition

Mechanism

A binding offer Artifact from a Solver to execute a Task. It declares: 1. Expected Value Cost (Time/Tokens/USD), 2. Confidence Interval (probability of success), 3. Capability Match (which parts of the Task the Solver can handle). It serves as the input for the ComputeBudget Go/No-Go decision. A Bid acts as a CommitmentDevice: Solvers cannot exceed bid cost without explicit renegotiation, so the penalty for overshoot outweighs any short-term benefit of understating.

Invariants

  1. Binding: Solver cannot exceed Bid cost without requesting Budget expansion.
  2. Pre-Execution: Must be generated before work begins.
  3. Verifiable: Bid components must be objectively measurable post-hoc.

Risks

Failure modes

  1. Underestimation

    Bid is too optimistic, leading to Budget overrun.

  2. Overestimation

    Bid is too pessimistic, causing rejection of viable work.

  3. Capability Mismatch

    Solver claims abilities it doesn't have.

  4. Confidence Theater

    Stated confidence doesn't reflect actual uncertainty.

Relationships

Builds on

References

Infrastructure

Artifact

Immutable data unit

Infrastructure

Budget

Resource allocation limit

Mind

Solver

Abstract five-surface contract: Manifest, Execute, Consult, Verify, Feedback

Infrastructure

Task

The atomic unit of intent

Infrastructure

Value

A measure of utility

Used by

Composes with

AtomicBid

Declaration and execution in a single turn

Accepts

Award

Acceptance of bid and contract creation

Yields

Reference

Signature

  • Artifact(Value)

Data schema

{
  "type": "object",
  "required": [
    "issuer_id",
    "terms",
    "signature"
  ],
  "properties": {
    "issuer_id": {
      "type": "string",
      "description": "Identity of the Solver making the bid"
    },
    "beneficiary_id": {
      "type": "string",
      "description": "Identity of the Task issuer"
    },
    "terms": {
      "type": "object",
      "description": "Cost, confidence, and capability claims",
      "properties": {
        "expected_cost": {
          "type": "number",
          "description": "Expected Value Cost (Time/Tokens/USD)"
        },
        "confidence_interval": {
          "type": "array",
          "description": "Probability range of success [low, high]"
        },
        "capability_match": {
          "type": "array",
          "description": "Which parts of the task the solver can handle"
        }
      }
    },
    "signature": {
      "type": "string",
      "description": "Cryptographic proof of commitment"
    }
  }
}

Identity

Ref
Bid#647f
Sema ID
sema:Bid#mh:SHA-256:647f5a901a75ad0c5535dd1a16a2e2eb1f4295d88e55b592f101ea393c9d23b1
Ring
1
Tier
1
Updated
2026-11-11
Supersedes
  • sema:Bid#mh:SHA-256:cf07d1105de889786c1fbb618128ab03b34964fa4a7ab983c8d0f4d1d984b43e
  • sema:Bid#mh:SHA-256:1ebadf0e232c35605addcb43f2c2ceab124a7f710c0471cefb989189661c8d3a
  • sema:Bid#mh:SHA-256:5c45e9bd8858829e5a5cde5ad4f3ab26f4bb6937f88c1ddde40798b58799a266
  • sema:Bid#mh:SHA-256:f083ba4d6bda1e6f41425819a11da70828e6ee6dbe843ada68ef1e0696b9bf17
  • sema:Bid#mh:SHA-256:79cf8292cd6dc35c67b9a91f5a9f31962b12efc5ceb36ec84e1876142bce90ef